The college football matchup between South Alabama and Southern Mississippi has long been on the radar of local fans. The campuses are separated by just 90 miles, and followers of both programs figured their season-opening meeting would be a decent barometer for what to expect from the season. But now both programs have been unexpectedly thrust into the national spotlight as their meeting will be the first involving two FBS teams as the sport fights through the pandemic-influenced landscape. They will look to take advantage of the national stage when they meet Thursday night at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, Miss.
Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Golden Eagles are 13.5-point favorites and the over-under for total points scored is 57 in the latest William Hill odds for South Alabama vs. Southern Miss. Before finalizing your Southern Miss vs. South Alabama pick, make sure you check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 8-2 on all picks against the spread during Championship Week last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on South Alabama vs. Southern Miss. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Southern Miss vs. South Alabama:
- South Alabama vs. Southern Miss spread: Southern Miss -13.5
- South Alabama vs. Southern Miss over-under: 57 points
- South Alabama vs. Southern Miss money line: Southern Miss -550, South Alabama +425
- USM: The Golden Eagles are 5-2 against the spread versus Sun Belt opponents.
- USA: The Jaguars have covered four of their last five games as an underdog.
Why Southern Miss can cover
Viewers will get a sampling of what is likely to be one of the nation’s most efficient passing attacks with a signal-caller who is still motivated by naysayers who said he couldn’t cut it at the sport’s highest level. Senior quarterback Jack Abraham says he was told by coaches at summer camps during his high school years that he wasn’t good enough to play at the FBS level and he should adjust expectations accordingly.
Adding to his adversity, the Oxford, Miss., native broke his collarbone on the final play of the state championship game in his senior season, preventing him from attending all-star games that could have boosted his stock in the recruiting world. He ultimately spent a season at Louisiana Tech and another at Northwest Mississippi Community College before ending up at Southern Miss.
Abraham enters this ranked seventh among the school’s all-time passing leaders with 5,843 yards in just two seasons as a starter. With another solid campaign, he’s likely to overtake the school’s most famous football alum, Brett Favre, who is in third place with 7,695 yards. His 463 passing yards last season against Troy is the second-best, single-game mark behind Nick Mullens’ 591 against Rice in 2016. He started the game by completing his first 17 attempts.
Why South Alabama can cover
Former Central Arkansas coach Steve Campbell is just 5-19 in two seasons at the helm of South Alabama, but the end of last season spawned reasons for optimism. Desmond Trotter established himself as the quarterback of the future with a career-high 279 passing yards and four touchdowns in the upset of Arkansas State in 2019. The sophomore has reportedly held off highly touted junior college transfer Chance Lovertich for the starting job under center.
The Jaguars also return the top receiving tandem of Kawaan Baker and Jalen Tolbert, who combined for 1,095 receiving yards and nine touchdowns last season. Returning linebacker Riley Cole anchors the defense after registering nine tackles for loss and three sacks a year ago.
How to make South Alabama vs. Southern Miss picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Trotter will throw for one TD and pass for under 200 yards, while Kevin Perkins will rush for 77 yards for the Golden Eagles. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Southern Miss vs. South Alabama? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the South Alabama vs. Southern Miss spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.