The history between the BYU Cougars and Navy Midshipmen is brief since they’ve met only twice, with each team recording a victory. After the Midshipmen posted a 23-16 win in the 1978 Holiday Bowl, BYU evened the all-time series with a 31-10 victory at Navy in 1989. The Midshipmen finally get their chance at revenge when they host the Cougars on Monday night in the 2020 season-opener for both squads.
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. Navy is a one-point favorite after opening as a 1.5-point underdog, while the over-under for total points scored is 49.5 in the latest BYU vs. Navy odds from William Hill. Before finalizing your Navy vs. BYU picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 8-2 on all picks against the spread during Championship Week last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- BYU vs. Navy spread: Navy -1
- BYU vs. Navy over-under: 49.5 points
- BYU vs. Navy money line: Midshipmen -115, Cougars -105
- BYU: Cougars have failed to cover the spread in their last seven games as favorites.
- NAVY: Midshipmen are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight home games.
Why BYU can cover
Zach Wilson missed four games last season due to a thumb injury but was quite efficient in his nine outings, as he averaged 264.7 passing yards. The junior quarterback helped guide a Cougars offense that threw for at least 200 yards in every contest, accomplishing the feat for the first time since 2008. Dating back to the 2018 campaign, BYU has amassed 200-plus passing yards in 15 consecutive games.
Junior running back Lopini Katoa, who led BYU in carries the last two seasons, figures to get the bulk of the work again in 2020, at least in the early going as Sione Finau fully recovers from a torn ACL. Katoa gained 371 yards on 85 carries last year, finishing only six yards better than Finau on 26 more attempts. Katoa, who also returns kicks, led the Cougars in 2019 with 853 all-purpose yards.
Why Navy can cover
The Midshipmen have been nearly unbeatable in home openers under coach Ken Niumatalolo, as they have won 11 of 12 under his reign. The team has outscored its opponents 226-53 while going 5-0 in season-openers at home during Niumatalolo’s tenure. Navy will be looking to improve those marks with a new quarterback, as senior Dalen Morris takes over for Malcolm Perry, who was selected by the Miami Dolphins in the seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft.
Morris may not have to do much for a Navy offense that led the nation in rushing last year, averaging 360.5 yards per contest. Perry was a major part of the ground game, running for over 2,000 yards and 21 touchdowns, but the Midshipmen have a pair of running backs ready to shoulder the load. Junior Jamale Carothers nearly matched Perry’s 6.8 yards-per-carry average, rushing for 734 yards on 111 attempts, while senior Nelson Smith ran for 571 while combining with Carothers (14) for 21 TDs on the ground.
How to make BYU vs. Navy picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Wilson being held under 300 yards and no Navy running back topping 70 yards on the ground. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Navy vs. BYU? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the BYU vs. Navy spread to jump on Monday, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.